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- Buffalo (6-2) is a 6.5-point home favorite over the Dolphins (2-5) in Week 9
- Tua Tagovailoa passed for 234 yards and a TD in his first game back since suffering a concussion
- Sunday’s AFC East battle kicks off from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY at 1:00 pm ET
Josh Allen and the Bills dismantled the Seahawks on Sunday while Tua Tagovailoa lost to Arizona in his return to the field. Buffalo already has four more wins than every other team in the AFC East and has won 12 of its past 15 games against Miami.
Before we look at the odds for Bills vs Dolphins, check out the top betting sites for NFL football and the Best Super Bowl 59 Betting Sites 2024.
Bills vs Dolphins
 | Spread | Money Line | Total Points |
| Miami Dolphins | +6.5 (-110) | +230 | Un 50.0 (+100) |
| Buffalo Bills | -6.5 (-110) | -275 | Ov 50.0 (-120) |
Tua returns
Tua Tagovailoa’s return revitalized Miami’s moribund attack on Sunday, leading the Fins to a season-high in points (27) and yards (377). However, the Dolphins’ defense couldn’t stop the Cardinals in the second half of their 28-27 loss.
De’Von Achane was the star of the show on offense, racking up 147 total yards and a touchdown. But, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle were largely kept in check, combining for 117 scoreless yards.
Tua Tagovailoa with the behind-the-back pass!
So happy to see the #Dolphins star QB back.pic.twitter.com/2hDo4WdmaK
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) October 27, 2024
Bills crush Seattle
Buffalo is on a three-game winning streak after blowing out the Seahawks 31-10 on the road. Josh Allen passed for 283 yards, 2 TDs and an interception, and James Cook ran for 111 yards and two scores.
While Amari Cooper only made one reception for three yards in his second game with the Bills, Khalil Shakir made nine grabs for 107 yards and rookie Keon Coleman went for 70 yards and a TD in the victory.
Buffalo vs Miami
Buffalo is a 6.5-point home favorite on Sunday, and the over/under is set at 50 points. The Bills destroyed the Dolphins 31-10 in their first meeting in Week 2. Tagovailoa exited the game in the second half with a concussion and didn’t return until Week 8. That explains why Miami’s scoring offense (13.9 PPG) ranks dead-last in the league
Under offensive coordinator Joe Brady, the Bills have the NFL’s No. 5 scoring offense, averaging 28.8 points. While the Dolphins rank top-five against the pass, they struggled to stop Buffalo’s run game in Week 2. James Cook rushed for 78 yards on 11 carries with 2 TDs.
Josh Allen showing respect to former longtime #bills coach Leslie Frazier#billsmafia @BuffaloPlus pic.twitter.com/7a3n3kwmKZ
— Jenna Cottrell (@JennaCottrell) October 27, 2024
Josh Allen vs Tua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa has not fared well against Sean McDermott’s defense historically. The 25-year-old has a 1-7 career record with seven TDs, 10 INTs and a passer rating of 74.1.
Meanwhile, Josh Allen is 11-2 all-time versus Miami with 34 TDs, 7 INTs and a 110.0 passer rating.
Best Bet
While divisional matchups are inherently unpredictable, this one hasn’t been. Sean McDermott has owned Mike McDaniel over the past few years. So, we expect the Bills to have no trouble covering at home (-6.5) against a Dolphins team that’s been circling the drain. Add the UNDER 50 (+100).
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