Alabama Favored Over Missouri in Week 9 SEC Matchup

  • Who: Missouri (21) vs. Alabama (15)
  • Date: Saturday, October 26, 2024
  • Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: ABC, ESPN+

While Missouri and Alabama are not among the top-ranked teams in the NCAA Football AP rankings poll, this is an extremely important matchup for each team. The Missouri Tigers enter Week 9 of the 2024 NCAA Football season as the No. 21 team, while the Alabama Crimson Tide is No. 15. A win here could keep the victorious team in the hunt for a College Football Playoff spot, a loss could dash the hopes of the vanquished team of making the playoffs.

Missouri has a 6-1 overall record, and the team is 2-1 in the SEC. They are coming off a 21-17 win over Auburn. The team’s loss came against Texas A&M in early October. The Aggies won that contest 41-10. This week’s game is the last ranked opponent the Tigers are scheduled to face this season.

Alabama is 5-2 on the season and 2-2 in the SEC. They were ranked at No. 7 heading into their Week 8 game against the Tennessee Volunteers, but Tennessee won that contest 24-17, dropping the Crimson Tide to 15 in the rankings. A third loss this season will be devastating for Alabama.

Before we look at the betting odds, picks, and predictions for the Week 9 NCAAF game between Missouri and Alabama, check out our best NCAA football betting sites, and where you can find the betting odds for the 2025 national championship.

NCAA Football: Missouri vs. Alabama betting picks

TeamsBetOnline ReviewBovadaBetUS ReviewMyBookie Review
Missouri+410+410+400+390
Alabama-515-585-520-549

Missouri betting breakdown

The key on offense in this game for Missouri is if quarterback Brady Cook can complete his passes downfield. He has an overall completion rate of 63.1 percent and is averaging 7.5 yards per throw. Last year, Cook’s numbers in those categories were 66.1 percent and 9.0 yards. He needs to get back to where he was in 2023. The Tigers offense needs to exploit the Alabama secondary on Saturday if they hope to succeed. If Cook can complete passes in the 20-plus yard range from early on, Alabama will be in trouble, as the coaching staff has shown an inability or unwillingness to adjust its coverage.

The Tigers average 422.4 yards of offense per game, with 250.1 of that coming in the air and 172.3 on the ground. The offense averages 31.7 points per game. As for the team’s defense, they surrender 273 yards total per game, giving up 157.6 passing yards and 115.4 rushing yards. The Missouri defense gives up 15.6 points per game.

Missouri TO BEAT ALABAMA IN WEEK 9
★★★★★
+410
Bet now

Alabama betting breakdown

Alabama‘s offensive line is struggling, resulting in Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe having some struggles completing passes. One thing the Alabama coaching staff could do to help the offense is to mix things up and attempt more running plays. The Tennessee game was supposed to be a matchup that allowed Milroe to shine. Instead, he went 25 for 45 with 239 yards in the air. His pass completion percentage against the Volunteers was 55.6 percent, which was his lowest number, by far, of the year. He also had an average of 5.2 yards per throw, which was his lowest number of the season. Another thing Alabama should consider is mixing up their receiving targets, as Ryan Williams is the player defenses know to focus on.

The Crimson Tide offense is slightly more effective than Missouri’s. The team averages 424 yards of total offense per game, with 259.7 passing yards and 164.3 yards on the ground. Alabama averages 38.1 points per game. The Alabama defense is near the bottom of the SEC in yards allowed per game at 351.9. The D gives up 210.6 yards in the air and 141.3 on the ground. Alabama surrenders an average of 21.3 points per outing.

Alabama TO BEAT MISSOURI IN WEEK 9
★★★★★
-585
Bet now

Bets bets: Missouri vs. Alabama

This is a high-stakes SEC matchup, and the Missouri vs. Alabama game should be an entertaining contest.

The betting pick is for Alabama to stay in the College Football Playoff hunt with a Week 9 victory over Missouri.

Alabama TO BEAT MISSOURI IN WEEK 9
★★★★★
-520
Bet now

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.