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- Green Bay (8-3) is a 3-point home favorite over the Miami Dolphins (5-6) in Week 13
- Tua Tagovailoa has 11 passing TDs and just 1 interception since returning from injured reserve
- The Thanksgiving Day primetime matchup kicks off from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI at 8:20 pm ET
While the afternoon slate offers nothing to get excited about, Packers vs Dolphins provides a perfect nightcap to Thanksgiving. After downing the Patriots, Miami is on a three-game winning streak and back in the playoff picture in the AFC. Mike McDaniel’s club now heads to frigid Lambeau Field to face a beat up Green Bay team coming off a 38-10 victory over San Francisco.
Before we examine the odds for Thursday’s primetime matchup check out the best TNF bets for Week 13 and the the top betting sites for NFL football 2024.
Packers vs Dolphins
 | Spread | Money Line | Total Points |
| Miami Dolphins | +3.0 (+100) | +150 | Ov 47.5 (-105) |
| Green Bay Packers | -3.0 (-120) | -170 | Un 47.5 (-115) |
Miami back in playoff race
Tua Tagovailoa passed for 317 yards and four touchdowns in a 34-15 victory over New England on Sunday, leading his team to their third win in a row. Since returning from his latest concussion, the 26-year-old has passed for 11 TDs against just one interception.
However, the Dolphins quarterback has an 0-7 career record in games played at 4 degrees Celsius (40 degrees Fahrenheit) since entering the league. With forecasts calling for frigid conditions at Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving night, Tagovailoa said, “I’m excited to kill narratives, so let’s go. Bring it on.”
Tua Tagovailoa was on fire all day 🔥 pic.twitter.com/FzDjCHEs9n
— NFL on Prime Video (@NFLonPrime) November 24, 2024
Packers power past Niners
Josh Jacobs rushed 26 times for 106 yards and three TDs in a 38-10 win over the 49ers on Sunday. Jordan Love also put an end to his ugly streak of eight consecutive games with a pick, throwing for 163 yards and two scores. Green Bay’s defense forced three takeaways in Week 12, including a league-leading seventh INT of the season by Xavier McKinney.
The Packers have a few health concerns on a short week, however. Romeo Doubs is likely to miss Thursday’s contest with a concussion and Jacobs could be limited following his heavy workload on Sunday. Jaire Alexander (knee) and linebacker Edgerrin Cooper (hamstring) are not expected to suit up.
Green Bay vs Miami
Green Bay is a 3-point home favorite at Lambeau Field and the over/under set at 47.5-points. Green Bay’s offense is averaging 26.2 points per game (8th in NFL) and the Dolphins look to have their swagger back after a slow start, putting 34 points on the board in each of the past two weeks.
While Tyreek Hill was quiet on Sunday, Jaylen Waddle made eight grabs for 144 yards and a score, and Jonnu Smith had nine receptions for 87 yards and a TD. Sophomore back Devon Achane also added two touchdowns on the ground.
“The Packers believed in me. They took a chance on me. So every day I come in and try to pour everything I have into this team.”
Josh Jacobs is with @ErinAndrews after his hat trick vs the 49ers 🪄 pic.twitter.com/B6F8x6hVjY
— NFL on FOX Podcast (@NFLonFOXPod) November 25, 2024
Best Bet
While Tua has struggled in cold weather throughout his career, the vibes couldn’t be better on Mike McDaniel’s team right now. The Dolphins defense is also becoming one of the more underrated units in the league.
Look for Jordan Love to throw a pick at a crucial juncture to secure a Miami win (+150) at Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving night, with the UNDER 47.5
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