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- What: NBA Regular Season Game
- When: February 6, 2025
- Who: Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Time: 5:00 p.m. EST
- Where: Target Center (Minneapolis, MN)
As the Houston Rockets prepare to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, the betting landscape is shaping up to favor the T-Wolves, especially with a spread of just one point.
Let’s explain why Minnesota is the team to back in this matchup.
First, the Timberwolves are currently 27-23 and in seventh place in the Western Conference. They’ve had a solid season so far, and despite a recent two-game losing streak, they’ve shown they can compete with the best.
Their last game was a narrow 116-114 loss to the Sacramento Kings, where Naz Reid’s impressive 30-point performance led them. Reid has been a key player for Minnesota, stepping up in the absence of Julius Randle, who is sidelined with a right groin strain.
On the other hand, the Rockets are struggling to find their footing. They’ve lost four straight games and are currently dealing with a slew of injuries.
Fred VanVleet is week-to-week with an ankle injury, and while Alperen Şengün has been a bright spot, averaging 19.2 points and 10.6 rebounds, the Rockets are still trying to find their identity without their star point guard.
Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks have been inconsistent, and the team’s depth is being tested. This lack of experience could be detrimental against a Timberwolves team that has a mix of young talent and seasoned players.
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Game Preview (Rockets vs. Timberwolves)
| Spread |  |  |  |
| Houston Rockets +1 Point | -110 | -110 | -115 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves -1 Point | -110 | -110 | -105 |
Anthony Edwards is another reason to favor Minnesota. He’s been a scoring machine, and with a points total set at 30.5 for this game, he’s expected to rise to the occasion.
Edwards has the ability to take over games, and with the Rockets’ defense struggling, he could easily surpass that mark.
Moreover, the Timberwolves have a solid home-court advantage at the Target Center. They’ve been tough to beat at home, and with the Rockets playing the second leg of a back-to-back, fatigue could play a significant role.
The Bulls just faced a similar situation, and it showed in their performance against the Timberwolves.
In terms of matchups, Minnesota’s frontcourt, led by Reid and Jaden McDaniels, should have the upper hand against the Rockets’ bigs.
Reed Sheppard with a career-high 16 PTS in Brooklyn 👏@MemorialHermann | #Rockets pic.twitter.com/rC5o6tHalX
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) February 5, 2025
The Timberwolves’ ability to control the paint will be crucial, especially with the Rockets’ struggles in rebounding. If Minnesota can dominate the boards, it will limit Houston’s second-chance opportunities and create more scoring chances for themselves.
With the Timberwolves’ current form, home advantage, and the Rockets’ injury woes, Minnesota is well-positioned to cover the spread of one point.
The combination of Edwards’ scoring ability, Reid’s recent performances, and the overall team chemistry gives the Timberwolves the edge they need to secure a victory against a depleted Rockets squad.
I’d lay the point and take the Timberwolves in this one.
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Total Points
Both teams have been battling their own demons lately, but one thing is clear: they know how to put points on the board.
| Total Points | | | |
| Over 215.5 | -110 | -110 | -105 |
| Under 215.5 | -110 | -110 | -115 |
With both squads combining for an impressive 11-4 record to the over in their last 15 games, it’s hard to ignore the trend that suggests another high-scoring affair is on the horizon.
Both teams have already faced each other twice this season, with each game going over the total. The first matchup saw the Timberwolves take a decisive 135-119 victory, showcasing their offensive firepower.
The second game was a tighter contest, but still ended with a combined score that exceeded the total. With both teams struggling defensively and focusing on their offensive strengths, it’s reasonable to expect another high-scoring game.
As both teams prepare for this matchup, the over seems like the smart play.
🔥🔥🔥🔥 https://t.co/wOKEAHvRd6 pic.twitter.com/W8xGk0FnsY
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) February 6, 2025
The Rockets and Timberwolves have both shown they can score in bunches, and with their recent trends pointing towards high-scoring games, it’s hard to see this one being any different.
The combination of offensive talent and defensive struggles on both sides sets the stage for a game that could easily see both teams surpassing the total.
While both the Rockets and Timberwolves are facing challenges, their ability to score makes the over a compelling option.
With both teams riding a trend of overs and a history of high-scoring matchups this season, it’s time to ride the wave and take the over once again tonight.
I would bet Over 215.5 points in this one.
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