Norris to claim Italian Grand Prix and close gap with Verstappen

  • Lando Norris (+110) is favored to win the Italian Grand Prix following his victory at Zandvoort last week
  • Max Verstappen (+250) maintains a 70-point edge in the drivers’ standings despite going winless in five races
  • The 53-lap, 3.6-mile Autodromo Nazionale Monza hosts Round 16 of the F1 season on September 1, 2024

Lando Norris finished almost 23 seconds ahead of the pack at last weekend’s Dutch Grand Prix, handing Max Verstappen his first-ever defeat at the Zandvoort circuit. With nine races left in the season, can the 24-year-old Brit keep his foot on the gas pedal in Monza this Sunday?

Before we look at the Italian GP odds, check out the top Formula 1 betting sites in 2024 and get betting odds on the United States F1 Grand Prix and other upcoming races.

2024 Italian Grand Prix

DriverBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Lando Norris+110+110+110
Max Verstappen+250+250+250
Oscar Piastri+650+650+650
Charles Leclerc+1100+1100+1100
Carlos Sainz+1600+1600+1600
George Russell+1600+1600+1600
Lewis Hamilton+1600+1600+1600
Sergio Perez+6600+6600+6600
Fernando Alonso+20000+20000+20000
Alexander Albon+25000+25000+25000
Kevin Magnussen+25000+25000+25000
Nico Hulkenberg+25000+25000+25000
Lance Stroll+35000+35000+35000
Daniel Ricciardo+50000+50000+50000
Esteban Ocon+50000+50000+50000
Franco Colapinto+50000+50000+50000
Guanyu Zhou+50000+50000+50000
Pierre Gasly+50000+50000+50000
Valtteri Bottas+50000+50000+50000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000+50000+50000

Norris or Verstappen?

Lando Norris (+110) secured his second-career win, crossing the finish line in the Netherlands with the largest margin of victory of the F1 season. Unfortunately, however, he’s still 70 points back of Max Verstappen (+250), who placed second. His first-ever loss on his hometown track at Zandvoort.

The reigning three-time champion has captured the past two Italian GPs, but he’s in the midst of his longest winless run since 2020. While Norris is unlikely to catch his rival in the drivers’ standings with only nine races remaining, his team has an excellent shot at the constructors’ championship. McLaren sits just 30 points back after outscoring Red Bull in six-straight races.

Autodromo Nazionale Monza

Autodromo Nazionale Monza has held the Italian GP every year but one since the F1 world championship started in 1950. Known as the ‘Temple of Speed’, the circuit is famous for long straights that enable drivers to go full throttle for roughly 80% of the lap.

There’s always a passionate Ferrari fanbase in Monza. That’s good news for Charles Leclerc (+1100), who in addition to winning the event in 2019, is coming off consecutive third-place finishes.

Max VerstappenItalian Grand Prix
★★★★★
+250
Bet now
Oscar PiastriItalian Grand Prix
★★★★★
+650
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Other contenders

Oscar Piastri (+650) placed fourth at the Dutch GP after finishing ahead of his McLaren teammate in the previous two races. Prior to the summer hiatus, the 23-year-old Australian followed up his first-career GP win in Hungary with a second-place result at the Belgian Grand Prix.

Mercedes won three of four races heading into the summer break, but neither George Russell (+1600) or Lewis Hamilton (+1600) could maintain their momentum in Zandvoort, finishing seventh and eighth, respectively. Hamilton has five-career wins in Monza while his teammate placed third at the track in 2022.

Best Bet

McLaren clearly has the fastest car following its 22.896-second win in Holland on Sunday. We’ll take Norris (+110) at near even odds and hedge him with his teammate Piastri (+650) to cover our bases.

Lando NorrisItalian Grand Prix
★★★★★
+110
Bet now

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Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identify value bets, and optimize betting strategies. Strong communication skills with a demonstrated ability to present complex data in an understandable manner. Skills -Advanced Statistical Analysis -Predictive Modeling & Forecasting -Sports Analytics & Data Interpretation -Risk Management & Stake Allocation -Market Research & Trend Analysis -Strategic Betting Strategies -Proficiency with Betting Software (e.g., Betfair, Pinnacle) -Strong Excel & Data Visualization Skills -Excellent Communication & Presentation Skills