BetOnline is presenting us with an exciting wagering opportunity. Picking the next place to ban Twitter. We can choose the continent and country that will ban the social media app.
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Elon Musk and Twitter are no strangers to being considered taboo. Earlier this year, the app was banned in Brazil.
From August 30, 2024, to October 8, 2024, Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court judge Alexandre de Moraes imposed a ban on the social media platform X.
This action was taken after Elon Musk, the network’s chairman, declined to appoint a legal representative in Brazil. Moraes froze Starlink’s financial assets and imposed fines for non-compliance. The suspension of X took effect the following day.
Breaking News: Brazil lifted its ban on the social network X after Elon Musk capitulated in his fight with the country’s Supreme Court. https://t.co/NRNS57Pac7
— The New York Times (@nytimes) October 8, 2024
This decision was part of an investigation by the Brazilian Supreme Court into Musk due to the reinstatement of accounts on X that had been previously suspended under a court order.
The Court had directed the removal of far-right accounts linked to the 2023 attack on Congress in Brasília.
The investigation was initiated in April 2024, following Musk’s announcement that he would restore those accounts.
After the platform paid $5.2 million in fines, appointed a legal representative in Brazil, and complied with orders to deactivate the accounts, the ban was lifted on October 8, 2024.
Twitter has rattled a lot of countries leadership groups. So much so that we can actually wager on which country will ban the social media app next.
Next Place to Ban Twitter/X in 2024
Next Place to ban Twitter | |||
Iraq | +300 | +300 | +300 |
Syria | +500 | +500 | +500 |
Equatorial Guinea | +500 | +500 | +500 |
Uzbekistan | +500 | +500 | +500 |
Nigeria | +600 | +600 | +600 |
Yemen | +600 | +600 | +600 |
Albania | +800 | +800 | +800 |
Saudi Arabia | +800 | +800 | +800 |
Somalia | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 |
Sudan | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 |
Alabama | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
Mississippi | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
The first place we will look at is Iraq. Iraq is currently the leading candidate among bookmakers for the next country to prohibit the social media and news platform X, formerly known as Twitter.
In June 2014, BBC News reported that the Iraqi government had blocked access to Facebook, Twitter, and various other social media platforms in an effort to combat Isis.
The latest odds indicate a 25% likelihood that X will be banned nationwide, a decade after a previous social media ban occurred. I would pick Iraq as the country that bans Twitter/X next.
The next place we will examine is Syria.
The Syrian government closely monitors Internet use and filters a wide range of Web content, detaining citizens for expressing opinions online.
The government tightly controls online information transfer through infrastructure facilities, implementing policies that can drastically slow down or completely shut down internet and cellular networks.
Syria is listed by Reporters Without Borders as one of the “State Enemies of the Internet” due to its pervasive surveillance and severe restrictions on access to information.
The following country we will look at is Nigeria.
Twitter was inaccessible in Nigeria from June 5, 2021, to January 13, 2022. The government imposed this ban following the platform’s removal of tweets posted by Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari.
The Nigerian government is suspending Twitter there indefinitely, which will certainly impact LGBTQ+ Nigerians in their raising awareness, calls for support, mutual aid, organizing, etc. Another example of why it’s not “just Twitter.” Social media is a lifeline.
— Dana White (@ItsDanaWhite) June 4, 2021
He issued a warning to the southeastern region, mainly inhabited by the Igbo, about the possibility of a recurrence of the 1967 Nigerian Civil War amid ongoing insurgency issues in that area.
On January 12, 2022, the Nigerian government lifted the ban on Twitter after the platform committed to paying an “applicable tax” and setting up “a legal entity in Nigeria” within the first quarter of 2022.
I would pass on betting on Nigeria at +600 odds here.
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Continent of next country/state to Ban Twitter/X
There are a ton of choices for choosing the next place that will ban Twitter/X. However, we also have the opportunity to wager on the next continent that will ban Twitter/X.
Continent of Next Country to ban Twitter | |||
Africa | -150 | -150 | -150 |
Asia | +500 | +500 | +500 |
Europe | +800 | +800 | +800 |
North America | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 |
South America | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 |
Having an entire continent to choose should make this easier. Africa is the leading continent to ban Twitter/X. Oddsmakers have favored it the tune of -150.
This makes sense as Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Equatorial Guinea are three of the top places listed that will ban Twitter/X. This feels a bit rich with the odds, -150 indicates an implied probability of 60%. I would pass on this one at this price.
Twitter is banned in the following countries:
– China
– Iran
– Turkmenistan
– North Korea
– Myanmar
– Russia
– Pakistan
– VenezuelaI missed ElonovichMuskovy’s tweets and concerns over these countries.
I did see him threaten the judge in Brazil though.
Viva free speech from… pic.twitter.com/tN70qJR8rd
— Beefeater (@Beefeater_Fella) September 1, 2024
Our next choice is Asia. Oddsmakers have priced Asia at +500 odds. Syria, Yemen and Uzbekistan are three of the top choices for the next country to ban the social media company.
This feels like tremendous value. I would absolutely recommend betting on Asia as the next continent to ban Twitter/X at +500 odds.
Last but not least we will discuss the chances that Europe is the continent with the next country that bans Twitter/X. Oddsmakers have priced Europe at +800 to ban Twitter/X.
This one doesn’t make much sense as the only country in Europe that is listed that may ban Twitter/X is Albania. While it’s possible another country goes rogue and bans Twitter/X I don’t see it happening before a country in Africa or Asia.
I would pass on this one at +800 odds as well.
European Cybertruck Ban
In addition to Elon Musk figuring out which country is banning Twitter/X next he will have his hands full with another ban.
European Cybertruck Ban | |||
Yes | +150 | +150 | +150 |
Transport campaigners have expressed concerns that Tesla’s Cybertruck is overly large and has sharp edges, making it unsuitable for European roads.
Today I learned that Cybertruck is banned on at least one continent because it does not have basic safety measures like bumpers or crumple zones.
It’s dangerous for both the driver AND pedestrians all at once. Masterful gambit, sir. pic.twitter.com/MLUnWfigS8
— Will Saenz (@Chuck_McChip) November 21, 2024
This has sparked discussions regarding the registration of one of the first electric pickup trucks to arrive in the continent.
The uncertainty surrounding the Cybertruck’s eligibility for driving in Europe stems from stringent road safety regulations that prohibit sharp edges and mandate speed limiters on vehicles exceeding 3.5 tons when fully loaded.
Oddsmakers are offering a YES option at +150 odds which indicates an implied probability of 40%. Oddsmakers seem pretty certain as there is NO option available.
I would bet YES on this one as it seems more likely than not that the Cybertruck gets banned in Europe.
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