Jorge Martin is the Pick to Win the 2024 Red Bull San Marino GP

  • What: Gran Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini
  • Date: Sunday, September 9, 2024
  • Location: Misano World Circuit
  • Where: Santa Monica-Cella, Italy
  • Time: 7:30 a.m. ET
  • How to Watch: TruTV, MAX, Rev TV

Marc Marquez’s long wait for a MotoGP victory ended on Sunday when the legendary rider took first place at the Aragon Grand Prix. The victory marked the first win for Marquez since he won back-to-back races late in the 2021 season. Marquez looks to make it two in a row this weekend when the MotoGP schedule heads to Italy for the 2024 San Marino GP. Jorge Martin was the runner-up last week, and Pedro Acosta finished in third. Last year’s MotoGP champion, Francesco Bagnaia, did not finish the race. He was involved in a crash with Marquez’s brother Alex with six laps left in the race.

The Misano World Circuit is a 4.23 kilometer course with 10 right corners and six lefts. The longest straight on the track is 530 meters. Martin holds the all-time lap record on the circuit at 1:30:390. He set that record in 2023. Bagnaia holds the best race lap record at 1:31:791, also set in 2023. The top speed record on the track is 305.9 km/hr, which is held by Marco Bezzecchi. He hit that mark in 2023. Jorge Martin won the 2023 edition of the San Marino  GP. Bezzecchi placed second and Bagnaia finished in third.

Before we look at the betting breakdown and picks for the 2024 San Marino Grand Prix, check out the best sites for MotoGP betting and our betting picks for the 2024 MotoGP Championship.

2024 San Marino GP betting picks

To Win 2024 Red Bull San Marino GPBovadaBetUS ReviewBetOnline Review
Francesco Bagnaia+125+135+125
Jorge Martin+225+200+225
Marc Marquez+250+300+250
Enea Bastianini+800+750+800
Pedro Acosta+2200+2500+2200
Marco Bezzecchi+4000+3300+4000
Brad Binder+4000+3300+4000
Fabio Di Giannantonio+4000+3300+4000
Alex Marquez+4000+3300+4000
Maverick Vinales+5000+4000+5000
Aleix Espargaro+5000+4000+5000
Franco Morbidelli+6000+5000+6000
Jack Miller+8000+6600+8000
Miguel Oliveira+12500+10000+12500
Raul Fernandez+15000+12500+15000
Fabio Quartararo+20000+15000+20000
Pol Espargaro+20000+15000+20000
Alex Rins+50000+30000+50000
Johann Zarco+50000+30000+50000
Augusto Fernandez+75000+50000+75000
Luca Marini+75000+50000+75000
Joan Mir+75000+50000+75000
Takaaki Nakagami+75000+50000+75000

Francesco Bagnaia

After a somewhat slow start in the early weeks of the 2024 MotoGP season, the 2022 and 2023 MotoGP world champion, Francesco Bagnaia, remains in the hunt for a third straight MotoGP world championship despite not finishing last week’s Aragon GP following a late crash. The race marked the second time this season that Bagnaia did not finish. His first retirement came in the second race of the season after he opened the 2024 campaign with a win in Qatar. Between the two retirements, Bagnaia won six times, placed third twice and had one fifth place finish.

Bagnaia has performed well at the San Marino GP. He has five starts on the course since joining the MotoGP ranks with back-to-back victories in 2021 and 2022. Last year he placed third on the course behind Martin and Bezzecchi.

Bagnaia lost a fair amount of ground in the points race to Martin following last week’s race. He is now trailing the points leader by 23 points.

Francesco BagnaiaTO WIN 2024 SAN MARINO GP
★★★★★
+125
Bet now

Jorge Martin

With a runner-up finish in the British GP, Jorge Martin took back the lead of the 2024 MotoGP points standings. However, he could not hold onto that lead long, as his runner-up finish in Austria, where he started on the pole, dropped him back to second place in the standings behind the defending champ, Bagnaia. Martin is back on top after he placed second in Aragon, and Bagnaia did not finish. Martin, who was the runner-up to Bagnaia at the end of last season, has 299 points while Bagnaia has 276.

Known for his aggressive approach on every course, the 26-year-old Martin, has started three times in San Marino as a MotoGP rider. In 2021 he did not finish the race. He placed ninth in 2022 and won the race in 2023.

Martin has two wins in 2024, five runner-up finishes, and two third-place finishes. He has not finished two races this season. Martin’s last win came in France in May, but he’s been incredibly consistent since then, placing five times and third once. He did not finish in Germany.

Jorge MartinTO WIN 2024 SAN MARINO GP
★★★★★
+200
Bet now

Marc Marquez

Heading into the 2024 MotoGP season, the biggest concerns for the legendary Marc Marquez were his health and how he would perform with his new team. After 11 years with Honda, the 30-year-old is now on a Ducati for Gresini Racing. As for his health, Marquez has started all 12 MotoGP races in 2024, and outside of not finishing in America, placing 16th in Portugal, and finishing in 10th in the Netherlands, Marquez has been among the top four finishers in his other five starts during the 2024 MotoGP season.

Heading into the Aragon GP last week, the last time Marquez won a MotoGP race was in 2021, when he placed first three times before finishing the year in the No. 7 spot in the standings. He had finished as the runner-up three times. Marquez’s winless run ended last week when he won the Aragon GP for the sixth time in his career.

On Sunday, Marquez looks to pick up his fourth win in San Marino. The last time Marquez won this race was in 2019. Last year he placed seventh.

Marc Marquez TO WIN 2024 SAN MARINO GP
★★★★★
+250
Bet now

Best bet to win the 2024 San Marino Grand Prix

Last year, Jorge Martin had one win heading into the San Marino GP, which is the same number of victories he has in 2024. However, Martin has been much more consistent this year, finishing in second place five times out of seven starts since his last victory. That consistency and the fact that he won this race in 2023 make him the pick to win.

The betting pick for the 2024 San Marino GP is Jorge Martin.

Jorge MartinTO WIN 2024 SAN MARINO GP
★★★★★
+225
Bet now

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Trent Reinsmith

Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.