Packers a strong longshot to win Super Bowl 59 following NFL free agency

  • Kansas City and San Francisco (+600) are co-favorites to win the Lombardi Trophy this season
  • Green Bay (+2200) and Houston (+2200) added top-tier talent in NFL Free Agency 
  • Super Bowl 59 will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana on Feb. 9, 2025

NFL free agency 2024 opened with a bang on Monday. Kirk Cousins, Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley are just a few of the marquee talents who switched area codes over the past couple of days.

How does all the player movement from around the league impact betting on the 2025 Super Bowl? Before we examine the latest futures and make our picks, be sure to check out the top betting sites for NFL football.

2025 Super Bowl

TeamBetOnline ReviewBovadaMyBookie Review
Kansas City Chiefs+600+600+600
San Francisco 49ers+600+600+600
Baltimore Ravens+900+900+900
Buffalo Bills+1200+1200+1200
Cincinnati Bengals+1200+1200+1200
Dallas Cowboys+1400+1400+1400
Detroit Lions+1400+1400+1400
Philadelphia Eagles+1400+1400+1400
Green Bay Packers+2200+2200+2200
Houston Texans+2200+2200+2200
Los Angeles Rams+2500+2500+2500
Atlanta Falcons+2800+2800+2800
Miami Dolphins+2800+2800+2800
Los Angeles Chargers+3300+3300+3300
Jacksonville Jaguars+4000+4000+4000
New York Jets+4000+4000+4000
Pittsburgh Steelers+4000+4000+4000
Cleveland Browns+4500+4500+4500
Chicago Bears+5000+5000+5000
Indianapolis Colts+5500+5500+5500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+6600+6600+6600
Las Vegas Raiders+7500+7500+7500
Minnesota Vikings+8000+8000+8000
Seattle Seahawks+8000+8000+8000
Arizona Cardinals+10000+10000+10000
Denver Broncos+10000+10000+10000
New Orleans Saints+10000+10000+10000
New York Giants+12500+12500+12500
Washington Commanders+12500+12500+12500
Tennessee Titans+15000+15000+15000
New England Patriots+17500+17500+17500
Carolina Panthers+25000+25000+25000

Chiefs and 49ers co-favored

Kansas City (+600) aims to become the first three-peat champions of the Super Bowl era. After making Chris Jones the highest-paid defensive tackle in the NFL, the Chiefs will likely trade cornerback L’Jarius Sneed and add some receiving talent around Patrick Mahomes.

Still dealing with their heartbreaking Super Bowl loss, San Francisco (+600) will return star players such as Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle. But trade rumors surround wideout Brandon Aiyuk, who is due for a contract extension.

Running back movement

Baltimore (+900) added Derrick Henry on a two-year deal. Teaming the two-time NFL rushing champ with Lamar Jackson makes a Ravens club that finished with the NFL’s best regular-season record even scarier.

Cincinnati (+1200) replaced Joe Mixon for Zach Moss, and may deal Tee Higgins sometime before the draft after the star receiver demanded a trade.

Philadelphia (+1400) brought in Saquon Barkley to pair with Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith. After losing six of their final seven games last season, the Eagles also replaced their defensive coordinator with Vic Fangio.

Baltimore Ravensto win Super Bowl 59
★★★★★
+900
Bet now
Kansas Cityto win Super Bowl 59
★★★★★
+600
Bet now

Lombardi longshots

Houston (+2200) signed stud pass rusher Danielle Hunter and scooped up Mixon from the Bengals. With the reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year in C.J. Stroud and reigning Coach of the Year Demeco Ryans, the sky is the limit for the Texans.

Sean McVay’s Rams (+2500) devoted most of their resources to beefing up their offensive line. Coming off a 10-7 season where they far exceeded expectations, Los Angeles can’t be counted out. Especially if they find more late-round draft gems like Puka Nacua and Kyren Williams to revitalize their offense around Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp.

Kirk Cousins arrives in Atlanta

Atlanta (+2800) is still viewed as a longshot after handing the bag to Kirk Cousins. If the 35-year-old can fully recover from his Achilles tear, the Falcons offense should put plenty of points on the board with Drake London, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson. However, new head coach Raheem Morris must overhaul the defense to be a true contender.

Best Bet

Green Bay (+2200) cut franchise stalwart Aaron Jones to open up cap space for Josh Jacobs. Paired with franchise quarterback Jordan Love and an ascending wide receiver room, the former Raider adds to the league’s youngest collection of skill position talent.

If you’re looking for a longshot, you could do worse than the Packers.

Green Bay Packersto win Super Bowl 59
★★★★★
+2200
Bet now

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Steve Starr

Highly analytical and results-driven Sports Betting Expert with over 20 years of experience in sports analytics, betting strategy development, and risk management. Proven track record of leveraging statistical models and market analysis to achieve consistent profitability in sports betting. Adept at using data-driven insights to forecast outcomes, identi...

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