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- The 2024 presidential election takes place on November 5
- The “blue wall” swing states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are in play in 2024
- MI, PA, and WI went to the Democratic party in 2020
The race to become the next President of the United States is in full swing. This year, the Democrats pit current Vice President Kamala Harris against former President Donald Trump, representing the Republicans. Trump won the 2016 Presidential election with 304 votes from the Electoral College. Forty-six of those electoral college votes came from the so-called “blue wall” states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In 2020, Joe Biden earned 306 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 232 to put the White House back in the Democrats’ control. Biden took back those three states, but each state was very closely contested. Those three states remain in play for the 2024 presidential election.
The “blue wall” states are the 18 states, plus the District of Columbia, that had gone to the Democrats in every presidential election between 1992 and 2012.
Before we look at the betting odds, picks, and predictions for the three most important “blue wall” swing states for the 2024 presidential election, here’s where you can find the best 2024 Political Betting Sites and view all our latest Politics betting picks.
Michigan Electoral College betting picks
| To Win MI |  |  |  |
| Donald Trump | -130 | -135 | -120 |
| Kamala Harris | EVEN | -105 | -110 |
Michigan Electoral College betting breakdown
Trump carried Michigan in 2016 with 2,279,543 votes. Hillary Clinton had 2,268,869 votes. In 2020, Biden earned 2,804,040 votes to Trump’s 2,649,852. Currently, Trump is the slight betting favorite to turn Michigan red in the 2024 election.
The top issues Michigan voters are concerned about heading into the presidential election are: Social Security, crime, the economy, abortion, and immigration.
As of now, the polls have Michigan as a tightly contested race. In the five elections the Democrats have won in Michigan since 2000, they have earned more than 50 percent of the vote in the state. Trump’s 2016 victory was 47.5 percent vs. 47.3 percent.
The betting pick is for Kamala Harris to win Michigan.
Pennsylvania Electoral College betting picks
| To Win PA | | | |
| Donald Trump | -160 | -165 | -145 |
| Kamala Harris | +120 | +120 | +110 |
Pennsylvania Electoral College betting breakdown
In 2016, Pennsylvania voted in favor of Trump. He picked up 2,970,733 votes to Clinton’s 2,926,441. In 2020, Biden earned 3,458,229 votes to Trump’s 3,377,674 in the state. As of now, Trump is the betting favorite to earn Pennsylvania’s Electoral College votes in 2024.
The top issues for voters in PA are: Crime, Social Security, unemployment, health care, and the economy.
Harris had been polling favorably in the state until mid-October when Trump moved ahead of her to carry Pennsylvania.
Like Michigan, when Pennsylvania has voted for the Democrats (2000-2012, 2020) in recent elections, the party picked up more than 50 percent of the votes. In 2016, Trump beat Clinton 48.2 percent to 47.5 percent.
The betting pick is Kamala Harris to win Pennsylvania
Wisconsin Electoral College betting picks
| To Win WI | | | |
| Donald Trump | -145 | -140 | -130 |
| Kamala Harris | +110 | EVEN | +100 |
Wisconsin Electoral College betting breakdown
Wisconsin went for Trump over Clinton in 2016 with the votes shaking out at 1,405,284 vs. 1,382,536. In 2020, Biden edged Trump 1,630,866 to 1,610,184. Of the three states in the “blue wall” we are looking at here, Wisconsin has had the closest voting margins. While the state went overwhelmingly for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012, the elections the Dems won in 2000, 2004 and 2020 saw the Democratic candidate earn less than 50 percent of the popular vote. In 2016, Trump’s advantage was also slight, 47.2 percent to 46.5 percent.
Trump is the betting favorite in Wisconsin.
The top issues for Wisconsin voters are: Crime, social security, health care, unemployment, and the economy.
The betting pick is Donald Trump to win Wisconsin.
See below the top offshore sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
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