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- Justin Trudeau (+175) of Canada is heavily favored to be the next world leader to leave office
- Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu (+250) and Germany’s Olaf Scholz (+275) are also contenders to pack it in
- The fate of Volodymyr Zelenskyy (+800) is tied to the forthcoming U.S. election in November 2024
With Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in most election polls, the move to cast incumbent President Joe Biden aside looks like a masterstroke by the Democratic Party. This makes one speculate – will the ol’ switcheroo be used in other countries worldwide?
Before we look at the odds for the Next World Leader to Leave their post, here’s where you can find the best 2024 Political Betting Sites and view all our Politics betting picks.
Next World Leader To Leave
| Politician |  |  |  |
| Justin Trudeau | +175 | +175 | +175 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | +250 | +250 | +250 |
| Olaf Scholz | +275 | +275 | +275 |
| Volodomyr Zelenskyy | +800 | +800 | +800 |
| Lula da Silva | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Recep Tayyip Erdogan | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Vladimir Putin | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Xavier Milei | +3300 | +3300 | +3300 |
| Emmanuel Macron | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 |
| Keir Starmer | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 |
Justin Trudeau favored
Justin Trudeau (+175) saw his approval rating drop to a new low recently with only one-third (33%) of Canadians saying they approve of his leadership. That doesn’t mean the handsome 52-year-old will leave his post, however. “I’m not going anywhere,” said Trudeau last week.
If he doesn’t choose to step down, Canada’s Prime Minister may be voted out shortly. Canada’s New Democratic Party (NDP) recently pulled out of a deal that helped Trudeau’s minority Liberals pass legislation and hold on to power. Now, an election could be forthcoming.
Progressive leadership is driven by a shared belief that we can’t go back — on rights, on equality, on an economy that works for everyone. We can’t go back on any of it.
We have to keep moving forward.#GlobalProgressAction24 pic.twitter.com/TLQQE6mY26
— Justin Trudeau (@JustinTrudeau) September 21, 2024
Netanyahu, not a chance
Benjamin Netanyahu (+250) has historically low approval ratings with many in his country holding him directly responsible for the hostages still held by Hamas. That said, his hold on power seems to be secure. Israel’s prime minister has a strong coalition of ultra-Orthodox and ultra-nationalist factions, who have a vested interest in his leadership continuing.
Olaf on the way out?
Olaf Scholz (+275) of Germany said he will seek a second term despite facing questions about his candidacy in next year’s national election. His center-left Social Democrats are performing terribly in nationwide polls, which show Friedrich Merz of the mainstream center-right Union bloc in the lead.
But, after Scholz’s party narrowly defeated Germany’s far right in a regional vote on Monday, he won’t be stepping down any time soon.
Friedrich Merz is now officially the CDU/CSU candidate for chancellor in Germany’s election next year. He has strong odds of beating Olaf Scholz. But who is the man seeking the top political job? https://t.co/VT7DC636HM 👇
— The Economist (@TheEconomist) September 23, 2024
Best Bet
Volodymyr Zelenskyy (+800) just arrived in the United States on a high-stakes visit to present peace proposals. The Ukrainian leader’s fate is likely directly tied to the result of November’s U.S. election. If Donald Trump returns to power, Zelenskyy and his entire nation will be in grave danger.
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