The northern city of Turin in Italy is the home of two ancient soccer clubs, Torino and Juventus. These two sides meet for the 212th official time this Saturday. Juve have dominated recent proceedings, avoiding defeat at the hands of Torino since 2015. Read on for an expert Torino vs Juventus prediction and explore stats and tips for betting on the Turin Derby in 2025.
- Serie A (Italy)
- Torino FC vs Juventus FC
- Saturday, January 11, 2025
- 12 pm EST
- Olimpico di Torino, Turin, Italy
- Fubo, Paramount+
Turin Derby Betting Odds
Juventus are odds-on favorites to continue their winning ways in the Turin Derby. The favorites are (-115) to earn their 8th win in Serie A this season. Torino are (+420) to secure the maximum haul. A draw is lined at (+235).
Serie A
Torino +420 +391 +380 Juventus -115 -118 -120 Draw +225 +222 +235
Want to better understand the 3-way moneyline (1X2) market? See our soccer betting tips and learn about Serie A betting odds.
Juventus Still Unbeaten Through the Holiday Break
The Derby della Mole is a treasured fixture in the Italian soccer calendar. Also known as the Turin Derby in English, the event pits two historic Turin clubs against one another at least twice a year in Serie A. But the matchup has been quite one-sided over the past decade. Juventus have not lost to their city rivals since 2015.
Juventus have avoided defeat throughout this domestic campaign as well. Unfortunately, that has come at the expense of victory; 11 of their 18 Serie A matches have ended level. In fact, four of their last five domestic fixtures resulted in draws. Especially frustrating matches against Venezia (home) and Lecce (away) have removed Juve from the coveted top four of the table.
For Juventus to remain in the top level of European competition, they will have to improve upon their current position. Serie A is reaching all-time parity levels with a highly competitive title race ahead. Looking to the transfer market during this winter window is the best opportunity for the Old Lady to make a quick impact. The club has been tied to Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford, an English forward currently missing out on playing time.
In turn, United are keen to sign Juve’s Douglas Luiz, a midfielder that could replace Casemiro in the lineup. Casemiro has mired on the bench in recent weeks with an exit imminent. The aging Brazilian has his eyes set on the Saudi Pro League, with a lucrative deal in the mix. Other rumors swirl around Juventus’ connection to Barcelona’s Ronald Araujo.
Torino Outside of the Top Half of Serie A
Torino broke into the 2024 season with a strong run of form until an injury crisis. Hit hard by injuries to Duvan Zapata, Zanos Savva, Perr Schuurs and Emirhan Ilkhan, Torino have fallen out of the top half of the division. Il Toro have won just once in Serie A since October 25, a stretch that spans 10 games. The run is certainly concerning heading into a particularly challenging schedule ahead.
Indeed, new manager Paulo Vanoli will be feeling the pressure in the next few weeks. Torino fell 2-0 to Juventus on November 9, so Saturday could be a critical opportunity to get some points back and even the score. Visits to Fiorentina, Atalanta, and Bologna, along with a match at home to Milan, are all on the docket for the next six weeks for Torino. It would not be a surprise to see a fresh face in charge at Torino by the end of February.
In terms of transfer news regarding Torino, the club made an early offer to Chelsea for Cesare Casadei. The young Italian midfielder could be on his way out of London in search of more experience as he develops. Surprisingly, the negotiations surround not just a loan but a potential transfer.
Turin Derby: Torino vs Juventus Prediction and Free Betting Pick
The one-sided nature of the Turin Derby is sure to be in the back of players’ minds as they take to the pitch Saturday night in northern Italy. Torino really needs a win if they are to make a good show of themselves this campaign. Juventus could also use some points; despite being undefeated, they sit outside the Champions League qualification spots.
It should be a raucous evening in Turin as derby incidents this November forced a ban of ten Torino fans from Allianz Stadium. Fortunately for Juve, they have been one of the best teams in the country away from home. They have scored an equal amount of goals on their travels than at home and allowed fewer goals. Torino, meanwhile, have scored the second-fewest home goals in Serie A.
My projections indicate Juve should be closer to (-158) favorites. Torino’s odds of scoring are essentially a coin flip, while Juve’s odds are essentially double that. At a current price of (-115), available at BetOnline, there is a decent amount of value on the visitors. The line will likely move closer to the favorites as public bettors increase volume, so better to get on this play earlier rather than later, especially since I do not anticipate the price dipping below the opening line of (-115).
Odds are accurate at time of writing but subject to change.
Top Sportsbooks for Turin Derby
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