- What: UFC Tampa
- Who: Cub Swanson vs. Billy Quarantillo
- Date: Saturday, December 14, 2024
- Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida
- Time: Prelims (7:00 p.m. ET), Main Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: ESPN2 and ESPN+
UFC Tampa, the final fight card on the 2024 UFC schedule, takes place on Saturday, December 14 from Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. In the evening’s main event, former interim UFC welterweight champion Colby Covington returns to the Octagon for the first time since then-UFC 170-pound champion Leon Edwards defeated him via decision in the main event of UFC 296 in December 2023. Covington looks to stop Joaquin Buckley’s charge up the UFC welterweight rankings. Buckley dropped to the 170-pound weight class in May 2023. He is 5-0 since then with three knockouts and two decisions. Before that fight takes place, there is a featherweight matchup between Cub Swanson and Billy Quarantillo on the fight card. Before we look at the betting breakdown for Swanson vs. Quarantillo, here is some background on the fighters.
Cub Swanson (29-14) has been with the UFC since 2011. Before that, he spent four years under the WEC banner. A competitive veteran scrapper, the 41-year-old Swanson has alternated wins and losses over his past six UFC outings. Swanson is coming off a June 2024 split decision loss to Andre Fili.
Billy Quarantillo (18-6) first fought for the UFC in 2019. He is 6-4 with the promotion. Quarantillo has alternated wins and losses in his past eight UFC scraps. The 35-year-old enters the UFC Tampa card coming off a March 2024 submission loss to Youssef Zalal.
Before we look at the best bets for Cub Swanson vs. Billy Quarantillo on the UFC Tampa fight card, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find the best odds on all the UFC fights.
UFC Tampa: Cub Swanson vs. Billy Quarantillo betting picks
Fighters | ||||
Cub Swanson | +135 | +133 | +125 | +129 |
Billy Quarantillo | -155 | -155 | -155 | -165 |
UFC Tampa: Cub Swanson betting breakdown
Cub Swanson might not make the cut as a UFC Hall of Famer, but he is a legend in the sport. An always entertaining fighter, Swanson is the type of competitor who will get a finish or be finished far more often than he will go to the judge’s scorecards. Of his 43 professional fights, only 16 have gone the distance. That number includes his past two outings, a win over Hakeem Dawodu, and a loss to Andre Fili.
Swanson is a creative striker with a high fight IQ. While Swanson is getting up there in age, which has resulted in him slowing down a bit, he’s still an incredibly tough competitor who will keep coming forward and pushing his opponent while looking for any opening that will give him an advantage. While striking is his strong point, Swanson is well-rounded and can use his wrestling and grappling skills if that’s where the fight takes him.
Swanson lands an average of 4.67 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 50 percent. He absorbs 3.86 significant strikes per minute with a defense of 59 percent. Swanson picks up an average of 1.04 takedowns per 15 minutes of UFC action with an accuracy of 50 percent. His takedown defense is 63 percent.
UFC Tampa: Billy Quarantillo betting breakdown
Billy Quarantillo is a fan favorite with the UFC, thanks to his aggressive style. No featherweight in UFC history has a higher significant strike landing rate than Quarantillo at 7.47 per minute. What makes Quarantillo’s landing rate more impressive is that he’s also in the top 10 of the division in striking accuracy, connecting on 53.1 percent of his attempts. As good as he is in the striking department, Quarantillo is not a technical striker, but his aggression and output tend to overwhelm his opponents, which makes him a threat on the feet against any foe.
While Quarantillo relies on his striking, he’s also a capable wrestler and grappler who can handle himself on the mat.
Quarantillo absorbs 5.57 significant strikes per minute with a defense of 43 percent. His takedown average is 1.24 per 15 minutes, with an accuracy of 23 percent. Quarantillo defends 61 percent of his takedowns.
Best Bets for UFC Tampa: Cub Swanson vs. Billy Quarantillo
This should be a fan-pleasing matchup. Age and speed will play a factor in this contest, and Billy Quarantillo has advantages over Cub Swanson in both those categories.
The betting pick is for Billy Quarantillo to beat Cub Swanson via decision.
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