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- What: UFC 311
- Who: Jiri Prochazka vs. Jamahal Hill
- Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
- Location: Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California
- Time: Early Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPNews), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)
The first pay-per-view card on the UFC schedule in 2025 takes place on Saturday, January 18, when the promotion heads to the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. That fight card, UFC 311, is headlined by a lightweight title fight between UFC champion Islam Makhachev and Arman Tsarukyan. In the co-main event, UFC bantamweight champ Merab Dvalishvili puts his title on the line against Umar Nurmagomedov. Before that, a pivotal light heavyweight scrap between former UFC champs Jiri Prochazka and Jamahal Hill goes down.
Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) held the UFC light heavyweight title from June 12, 2022, through November 11, 2023. The No. 2 ranked fighter in the official UFC light heavyweight division, Prochazka is coming off a title fight loss to current champion Alex Pereira.
Jamahal Hill (12-2-0-1) has not fought since he lost a title fight to Pereira in April 2024 after returning from an Achilles tendon tear that forced him to give up the UFC title without defending it. Hill enters UFC 311 as the No. 3 ranked fighter in the UFC’s 205-pound division.
Before we look at the best bets for Jiri Prochazka vs. Jamahal Hill on the UFC 311 PPV card, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find our betting picks for the UFC 311 main event: Islam Makhachev vs. Arman Tsarukyan 2.
UFC 311: Jiri Prochazka vs. Jamahal Hill betting picks
| Fighters |  |  |  |  |
| Jiri Prochazka | -105 | -108 | -115 | -115 |
| Jamahal Hill | -115 | -112 | -115 | -111 |
UFC 311: Jiri Prochazka betting breakdown
Jiri Prochazka is one of the most entertaining fighters on the current UFC roster. Of his 30 career victories, 26 have come by knockout and three via submission. His only win to have gone the distance came in 2016. All of his losses have come by stoppage (four knockouts and one submission). That information should let one know that Prochazka’s goal when he steps into the cage is to get the finish or be finished in the pursuit of a spectacular win. He is not a point fighter.
Prochazka is a durable fighter who trusts that his chin will stand up to any punishment. With that confidence, he sometimes takes defensive risks. In short, he is sometimes too willing to stand in the pocket and exchange with his opponents. He discovered that approach was dangerous in his first matchup with Pereira.
The ex-champ employs odd movement, but he fights with a low guard. He is incredibly susceptible to calf kicks, which take away his movement. When that happens, he tends to dive into his strikes, which makes him a target for fast counters.
Prochazka lands 5.38 significant strikes per minute with a 55 percent landing rate. He gets hit with a fairly high 5.59 significant strikes per minute, and his defensive striking stands at 39 percent.
UFC 311: Jamahal Hill betting breakdown
Like his opponent at UFC 311, Jamahal Hill is a striker. In fact, the former UFC light heavyweight champion has never attempted a takedown as a member of the UFC roster. Hill has stopping power in his strikes, but he is also incredibly active with his strikes. During his title-winning scrap against Glover Teixeira, Hill attempted 402 significant strikes and landed 232 of those attempts. Those 232 significant strikes landed are a UFC light heavyweight record for most strikes landed in a UFC 205-pound scrap, and the 402 attempts rank second all-time in a UFC light heavyweight battle.
Hill sets a fast pace, and he has gone five rounds. When the ex-champ gets an opening, he unloads with combinations, with most of his strikes focused on his opponent’s head. Against Teixeira, 77 percent of Hill’s landed strikes were to his foe’s head. Hill averages 7.18 significant strikes landed per minute, and he lands with 54 percent accuracy. Hill absorbs 3.51 significant strikes per minute and has a defensive rate of 46 percent.
If there is a concern heading into this fight, it’s that Hill might be overconfident, bordering on cocky. If he fails to address some of his defensive liabilities against a striker like Prochazka, the former champ could find himself in trouble.
Best Bets: UFC 311 – Jiri Prochazka vs. Jamahal Hill
The betting odds are close in this fight, and they should be because this is likely to be a striking battle between two men who have the power to end a fight at any moment.
The key stat to study ahead of this fight is striking differential. That is where Hill has a clear advantage. Hill lands a UFC light heavyweight record 3.40 significant strikes more per minute than his opponents. Prochazka has a negative striking differential, and that is what’s going to cost him this fight.
The betting pick is for Jamahal Hill to beat Jiri Prochazka by knockout.
See below the top offshore sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
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