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- What: UFC 310
- Who: Movsar Evloev vs. Aljamain Sterling
- Date: Saturday, December 7, 2024
- Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV
- Time: Early Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET), Prelims (8:00 p.m. ET), Pay-Per-View Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: Early Prelims (ESPN+) Prelims (ESPN2), Main Card (ESPN+ PPV)
The final UFC pay-per-view card of 2024 takes place on Saturday, December 7, from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. In the main event of that card, UFC 310, UFC flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja faces former Rizin bantamweight titleholder Kai Asakura, who makes his UFC debut on the ESPN+ streaming pay-per-view event. Before the PPV card takes place, a pivotal featherweight fight is scheduled for the UFC 310 prelims. In that contest, the undefeated Movsar Evloev faces former UFC bantamweight champ Aljamain Sterling. Here is some background on the fighters before we look at the betting odds, picks, and predictions for UFC 310.
Movsar Evloev (18-0) is the No. 5 competitor in the UFC’s 145-pound division. Evloev joined the promotion in 2019 after winning and defending the M-1 Global bantamweight crown. He is 8-0 in the UFC and coming off a decision win over Arnold Allen in January.
Aljamain Sterling (24-4) defended the UFC bantamweight title three times before losing to Sean O’Malley in August 2023. He went up to featherweight for his next matchup, defeating Calvin Kattar in April. Sterling has not fought since that victory. He is ranked No. 9 in the UFC’s 145-pound weight class.
Before we look at the best bets for Movsar Evloev vs. Aljamain Sterling on the UFC 310 Prelim card, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find our picks for the UFC 310 main event.
UFC 310: Movsar Evloev vs. Aljamain Sterling betting picks
| Fighters |  |  |  |  |
| Aljamain Sterling | +215 | +235 | +205 | +202 |
| Movsar Evloev | -255 | -285 | -255 | -270 |
UFC 310: Movsar Evloev betting breakdown
Movsar Evloev has gone the distance in each of his eight appearances inside the UFC’s Octagon. That should give one an idea of his fighting style and approach. The 30-year-old Russian has decent striking with a high output and an okay landing rate, but his goal is to get the fight to the mat and rack up ground control time while negating any offense from his opponent. His undefeated record indicates that Evloev is very good at implementing that game plan. With just seven featherweight fights under the UFC banner, Evloev has 36 takedowns, which puts him tied for third all-time at 145 pounds. Meanwhile, his takedown accuracy is good, but not great, at 46 percent, which is an indication that he has strong cardio and that he employs chain wrestling to succeed in getting the fight to the ground. Evloev is working his way up the all-time record list in control time with 42:27.
Evloev is sound defensively on the feet. He does a good job of keeping his opponent at distance while also being mindful of moving into his takedown range.
Evloev lands 4.43 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 48 percent. His striking defense is 61 percent, and he absorbs 2.89 significant strikes per minute.
UFC 310: Aljamain Sterling betting breakdown
Like his UFC 310 opponent, Aljamain Sterling does his best work on the mat, using his heavy top game to keep the fight on the mat while looking for openings for submissions. Sterling is second all-time in control time in the UFC bantamweight division (1:09:10), top position time (46:36), fourth in takedowns landed (32), and third in submission attempts (13). Despite his affinity for working on the ground, Sterling is an active striker who is comfortable on his feet, but he doesn’t have a lot of knockout power, having only scored two knockouts since he signed with the UFC in early 2014.
Sterling is sound defensively on the feet. He has good movement, strong footwork, and decent distance management. Sterling’s goal in this fight should be to keep the fight standing, but his takedown defense of 45 percent makes that a challenging task for the ex-135-pound champion.
Sterling lands 4.61 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 52 percent. He absorbs 2.30 significant strikes per minute with a defensive striking rate of 58 percent. He averages 2.31 takedowns per minute with an accuracy of 27 percent.
Best Bets: UFC 310: Movsar Evloev vs. Aljamain Sterling
The odds are very good that this fight will go the three-round distance as these fighters have far more decisions than stoppages in their careers. As for who will get their hand raised at the end of the contest, Evloev has the advantage in size and ground skills, and that should be enough for him to pick up the victory.
The betting pick is for Movsar Evloev to beat Aljamain Sterling via decision at UFC 310.
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